VT
Viant Technology Inc. (DSP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 delivered record revenue, contribution ex-TAC, and adjusted EBITDA; revenue grew 7% YoY to $85.6M and contribution ex-TAC rose 12% YoY to $53.0M, with underlying growth excluding political and a seasonal client exit at +19% revenue and +22% CXT YoY .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue was a slight beat ($85.58M vs $85.53M*) while EPS was a modest miss ($0.12 vs $0.132*); management emphasized strong CTV momentum (CTV = 46% of total ad spend) and accelerating AI adoption as offsets .
- Q4 guidance implies record revenue ($101.5–$104.5M), contribution ex-TAC ($62–$64M), and adjusted EBITDA ($22.5–$23.5M), with adjusted EBITDA margin of 37% of CXT; reported growth is tempered by a 600–500 bps political comp headwind but pro forma growth remains 20–21% YoY at the midpoint .
- Strategic wins, notably a multi-year designation as Advertising Platform for Molson Coors starting 2026, validate Viant’s buy-side independence, CTV leadership, and ViantAI differentiation; these underpin management’s expectation for accelerating growth and margin expansion into 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record CTV spend and mix: CTV reached an all-time high 46% of total ad spend, with roughly half of CTV routed through Direct Access premium publishers, improving working media efficiency .
- AI velocity: AI Bidding automated ~85% of platform ad spend; CXT from AI Bidding more than doubled YoY; AI Bidding 3.0 launched ahead of schedule to further reduce media costs .
- Addressability scale and performance: Household ID identifies ~95% of U.S. households and covers ~80% of biddable inventory; Iris ID revenue more than doubled sequentially, with advertisers seeing ~48% higher conversion rates versus controls; new Tubi integration broadened scale .
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What Went Wrong
- Political comp and seasonal client exit pressed headline growth: management quantified ~600 bps revenue and ~400 bps CXT YoY headwind from last cycle’s political, plus ~600 bps from a seasonal advertiser shifting off-platform due to a corporate merger; underlying growth was stronger than reported .
- Non-GAAP EPS declined YoY despite higher EBITDA, driven by lower interest income and higher tax expense; non-GAAP net income fell 9% YoY .
- EPS miss vs consensus: diluted EPS of $0.12 modestly missed S&P Global consensus ($0.132*), despite top-line outperformance and margin expansion at the CXT level (estimates from S&P Global).
Financial Results
Consensus vs Actual (Q3 2025)
- Revenue: $85.58M actual vs $85.53M consensus*; EPS: $0.12 actual vs $0.132 consensus*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPI and Mix
Notes: Viant reported no debt and full access to a $75M credit facility in Q3 .
Guidance Changes
Results vs Prior Guidance (Q3 2025 given on Aug 11, 2025)
Current Guidance (Q4 2025)
Management also quantified political comp headwinds embedded in Q4 guidance (≈600 bps to revenue and 500 bps to CXT YoY); excluding political, pro forma revenue and CXT growth at midpoints are 20% and 21% YoY, respectively .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Total CTV ad spend on our platform reached a new all-time high and represented 46% of total advertiser spend… also an all-time high.”
- “Household ID identifies approximately 95% of U.S. households and is available across roughly 80% of all biddable ad inventory… four times the coverage of key competing identifiers.”
- “In Q3, revenue attached to the Iris ID more than doubled sequentially… advertisers are seeing, on average, a 48% increase in conversion rates versus control groups.”
- “Adjusted EBITDA… $16 million… exceeding the high point of our guidance by 7%… and 42% sequentially.”
- “Revenue of $101.5–$104.5 million… CXT of $62–$64 million… Adjusted EBITDA of $22.5–$23.5 million… adjusted EBITDA margin… 37% at the midpoint.”
Q&A Highlights
- AI Decisioning unlocks SMB/performance TAM: completes ViantAI’s four phases; aims for fully autonomous “self-driving” campaigns with minimal user input .
- Seasonal advertiser headwind isolated to Q3: Spending concentrated in summer; minimal impact in other quarters .
- Competitive dynamics: Amazon DSP not seen at finish line; Trade Desk’s OpenPath and incremental fees criticized; Viant reiterates independent buy-side model .
- Pipeline conversion: Molson Coors multi-year win starts onboarding Q1–Q2 2026; minority of the cited $250M gross pipeline decided; additional wins not yet disclosed .
- 2026 setup: Accelerating revenue/CXT growth expected as new clients onboard; significant EBITDA margin expansion anticipated as OpEx growth slows post acquisition laps .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025: Revenue $85.53M*, EPS $0.1317*; actuals were revenue $85.58M and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.12, implying a slight revenue beat and modest EPS miss. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Expect upward revisions to revenue trajectory less likely than EPS recalibration; management’s Q4 margin guide (37% of CXT) and 2026 expansion could support medium-term EPS estimate increases if execution persists .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- CTV engine driving mix and margin: CTV at 46% with Direct Access routing and Iris-led targeting is expanding CXT and EBITDA margins (30% of CXT in Q3; guided 37% in Q4) .
- AI flywheel accelerating: AI Bidding 3.0, rapid adoption, and upcoming AI Decisioning can lower media costs, automate workflows, and broaden TAM to SMB/performance advertisers .
- Underlying growth stronger than reported: Ex-political and client merger effects, Q3 revenue/CXT grew 19%/22% YoY, and Q4 guidance embeds similar political comps; comps normalize in 2026 .
- Strategic proof points: Molson Coors platform designation and wins vs large DSPs validate independent buy-side positioning and addressability strength; onboarding ramps in 2026 .
- Capital allocation and balance sheet: $161M cash, no debt, active buyback ($59.6M since May 2024) provide flexibility amid growth investments .
- Trading lens: Near-term narrative centers on Q4 execution vs political comps and achieving the 37% CXT margin; medium-term rerating hinges on 2026 acceleration and conversion of the large-pipeline wins .
Footnote on estimates: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.